Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.578477e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-02-16 4.656805e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-02-23 3.982479e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2025-03-02 3.434399e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2025-03-09 3.012652e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020
2025-03-16 2.709490e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023
2025-03-23 2.478286e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027
2025-03-30 2.225122e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030
2025-04-06 2.043638e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000034
2025-04-13 1.857547e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000038
2025-04-20 1.731357e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000043
2025-04-27 1.647069e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000051
2025-05-04 1.535727e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000058
2025-05-11 1.449042e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000067
2025-05-18 1.363525e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000078
2025-05-25 1.273852e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000087
2025-06-01 1.194286e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000033 0.000098
2025-06-08 1.134014e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000015 0.000036 0.000112
2025-06-15 1.085303e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000015 0.000039 0.000131
2025-06-22 1.017045e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000041 0.000143
2025-06-29 9.675008e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000044 0.000162
2025-07-06 9.088309e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000045 0.000177
2025-07-13 8.699140e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000048 0.000201